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SpaceX 2023

Posted: Sat Apr 15, 2023 3:22 pm
by brovane
SpaceX's stated goal for 2023 is 100 launches.

In Q1 SpaceX achieved 21 launches. Which is about 1 launch every 4 1/3 days. It will remain to be seen if SpaceX can pickup the pace in the test of the year to reach 100 launches in 2023. However even 80+ launches would still be big achievement.

SpaceX has been cleared by the FAA for it's first Orbital launch attempt of Starship with the window opening the morning of 4/17.

https://forum.nasaspaceflight.com/index ... c=58568.80

Re: SpaceX 2023

Posted: Tue Apr 18, 2023 4:37 am
by Nik_SpeakerToCats
Looks like final checks found one or more 'frozen' valves, launch deferred.

Well, better to have systems that find problems pre-launch rather than have to deduce from telemetry and debris...

Re: SpaceX 2023

Posted: Tue Apr 18, 2023 4:55 am
by Poohbah
Nik_SpeakerToCats wrote: Tue Apr 18, 2023 4:37 am Looks like final checks found one or more 'frozen' valves, launch deferred.

Well, better to have systems that find problems pre-launch rather than have to deduce from telemetry and debris...
He's really aiming for 4/20

Re: SpaceX 2023

Posted: Tue Apr 18, 2023 5:15 pm
by Nightwatch2
Poohbah wrote: Tue Apr 18, 2023 4:55 am
Nik_SpeakerToCats wrote: Tue Apr 18, 2023 4:37 am Looks like final checks found one or more 'frozen' valves, launch deferred.

Well, better to have systems that find problems pre-launch rather than have to deduce from telemetry and debris...
He's really aiming for 4/20
so he can light one up? ;)

Re: SpaceX 2023

Posted: Tue Apr 18, 2023 6:51 pm
by Poohbah
Nightwatch2 wrote: Tue Apr 18, 2023 5:15 pm
Poohbah wrote: Tue Apr 18, 2023 4:55 am
Nik_SpeakerToCats wrote: Tue Apr 18, 2023 4:37 am Looks like final checks found one or more 'frozen' valves, launch deferred.

Well, better to have systems that find problems pre-launch rather than have to deduce from telemetry and debris...
He's really aiming for 4/20
so he can light one up? ;)
Perzactly

Re: SpaceX 2023

Posted: Wed Apr 19, 2023 4:48 pm
by brovane
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Re: SpaceX 2023

Posted: Thu Apr 20, 2023 2:16 pm
by gtg947h
Well, they said "excitement guaranteed"... :mrgreen:

Vehicle cleared the pad, lost a couple engines, continued to climb, attempted stage separation, and started tumbling. Somehow the stack stayed together under thrust (!) until it exited the flight corridor boundaries and the flight termination system activated.

Re: SpaceX 2023

Posted: Thu Apr 20, 2023 2:44 pm
by jemhouston
Too bad, but you have break eggs to make an Omelet.

Note, I think the Saturn series was the only rocket family never to blow up. That's not say it didn't have teething issues.

Re: SpaceX 2023

Posted: Thu Apr 20, 2023 2:49 pm
by kdahm
What a major difference between the SpaceX SS/SH and the NASA driven SLS.

For SpaceX, it was, "Well, it blew up. No problem, it cleared the tower, we got good data, let's PARTY!"

For SLS, it would have been a major setback that would have called the whole program into even more question and probably resulted in some firings.

Booster 9 is almost ready for launch, and is a much updated iteration of #7 that went boom. Without anything but gut feeling, I'd guess another attempt within three months.

Edit to add: A lot of the commentators on Ars Technica were comparing this to Kerbals. I find the comparison to be fairly good.

Re: SpaceX 2023

Posted: Thu Apr 20, 2023 3:34 pm
by jemhouston
I think the SLS should be killed since it's too much money for too little result. Falcon Heavy might be better.

Who wants to take bets on for next landing on the Moon, NASA, China, or SpaceX? My money is on SpaceX.

Re: SpaceX 2023

Posted: Thu Apr 20, 2023 3:41 pm
by brovane
I think they might need to make a couple of changes to how they handle the rocket flame.
How did the SpaceX engineers not anticipate that the rocket exhaust from a rocket twice as powerful as the Saturn-V would need a flame trench and a water deluge system?
The damn thing dug it's own flame trench.
FuKl3PcWwAIjAt5.jpg

Re: SpaceX 2023

Posted: Thu Apr 20, 2023 4:22 pm
by David Newton
That would just be too exhausting to alter.

Re: SpaceX 2023

Posted: Thu Apr 20, 2023 5:26 pm
by Marko Dash
I'm pretty sure it getting off the pad and downrange without damaging the tower is considered a success, especially since this is the first flight for the booster.

Re: SpaceX 2023

Posted: Thu Apr 20, 2023 5:26 pm
by Luigil101
brovane wrote: Thu Apr 20, 2023 3:41 pm How did the SpaceX engineers not anticipate that the rocket exhaust from a rocket twice as powerful as the Saturn-V would need a flame trench and a water deluge system?
iirc the desire to not have a trench was pure Elon, a thing he probably regrets now that starbase and everything else within a kilometer got shotgunned by concrete fragments
It'll buff out, next launch in probably half a year

Re: SpaceX 2023

Posted: Thu Apr 20, 2023 6:39 pm
by Nightwatch2
David Newton wrote: Thu Apr 20, 2023 4:22 pm That would just be too exhausting to alter.
:lol:

Re: SpaceX 2023

Posted: Thu Apr 20, 2023 7:41 pm
by Jeff Thomas
It isn't clear to me who said it, but CNN says it is being described as "a rapid unplanned disassembly."

Re: SpaceX 2023

Posted: Thu Apr 20, 2023 8:47 pm
by David Newton
That's the SpaceX euphemism for it blowing up.

Re: SpaceX 2023

Posted: Thu Apr 20, 2023 9:08 pm
by jemhouston
Ace of Spades had an interesting comment, We're 120 years past the Wright Brother's first flight. What would they thing of the Starship?

Goddard's and Von Braun, about damn time.

Re: SpaceX 2023

Posted: Thu Apr 20, 2023 11:09 pm
by Poohbah
It'll buff out!

Re: SpaceX 2023

Posted: Fri Apr 21, 2023 4:03 pm
by Bernard Woolley
David Newton wrote: Thu Apr 20, 2023 8:47 pm That's the SpaceX euphemism for it blowing up.
An RUD is common phraseology in rocketry apparently.