Popcorn
Posted: Mon Aug 28, 2023 3:37 pm
The Board I hope.
Opinions expressed here are personal views of contributors and do not necessarily represent the companies, organizations or governments they work for. Nor do they necessarily represent those of the Board Administration.
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...Prrrrrrrrrrrretty much, yeah. I've already made up my mind that there won't be any more shots, and I won't wear a mask unless no other option (like getting into the FT Jackson Hospital, for instance). Now, if work says I have to wear one....well, I'll wear it, but not well.
Cochrane Review the latest scientific institution ruined by COVID ideology
David Strom 12:31 PM on August 28, 2023
Cochrane Review the latest scientific institution ruined by COVID ideology
Mark Lennihan
A few months back a controversy burst onto the scene with the now infamous Cochrane Review analysis that demonstrated that masking is useless as a population-level non-pharmaceutical intervention to address the COVID pandemic. There simply is no evidence that masking reduces the burden of disease and plenty of evidence that they don’t in large populations.
When the review dropped it caused quite a stir for the most obvious of reasons: it popped a bubble that should never have been allowed to inflate. It has been well known for a century that whatever their virtues, masks simply do not work to stop the spread of respiratory viruses in large groups over any extended period of time. This was a consensus position–one that Anthony Fauci himself endorsed before COVID changed the messaging suddenly.
Cochrane Review is widely held as a gold standard for medical information, and its findings are based upon meta-analyses of randomized controlled trials done by researchers across the world. These reviews do not rely on one study but on tens or hundreds using different methods in different places, with the goal of sorting out the signal from the noise that will always be found in any particular study.
When the analysis dropped the world seemed to explode. To have Cochrane Review debunk the mask narrative was unacceptable, and like a ton of bricks, the criticism poured in.
The editor apparently panicked. A quick addendum was attached to the analysis suggesting that it was not dispositive–and that addendum has been used ever since to claim that the review was flawed or even retracted. That is not and never was the case, and it is clear that the editor simply buckled to criticism.
Paul Thacker has done a deep dive into what happened and why, and the story is dispiriting. A study that was based upon extensive analysis, peer-reviewed, and based on the best evidence available was undermined by an editor with no relevant experience in a matter of hours, for the simple reason that she was scared by criticism from news organizations such as the New York Times.
The Cochrane Library has remained a trusted source for clinicians and policy makers making critical healthcare decisions for 30 years. But now, faced with an ongoing crisis caused by multiple missteps, Cochrane editor-in-chief, Karla Soares-Weiser has hired the pricey consulting firm Envoy to address scientists’ concerns about her lack of transparency, leadership, and communication skills. The crisis came to a head last March, when Soares-Weiser rushed out a statement undermining Cochrane scientists’ assessment that masks provide little help in stopping community transmission of viruses.
The Cochrane crisis over their mishandling of the mask review comes as CNN’s resident mask expert Jonathan Reiner has called for masking once again and several universities, such as Dillard, have reinstated mask policies.
Neither Soares-Weiser nor Envoy’s Scott Wayne have responded to questions about the nature or cost Envoy’s contract with Cochrane. Cochrane is supported by government and foundation grants. According to the group’s website, Cochrane has received over $500,000 from the National Institutes of Health.
Scientists who publish in Cochrane own the copyright for their reviews and grant Cochrane a license to publish. Yet, Cochrane has admitted that Soares-Weiser rushed out a statement undermining the scientists’ conclusions, without first consulting them. In an email to Cochrane scientists, Cochrane’s spokesperson wrote that Karla Soares-Weiser had taken full responsibility for the statement put out after a request from the New York Times.
“We understand this is not ideal, especially the timing: we hoped to inform you all before publication but have been blindsided by the NYT and have scrambled to upload our statement.”
Cochrane’s bending the knee to the mask mob has created a crisis of confidence in the research world. Not only do medical professionals rely on Cochrane to be utterly dedicated to the evidence above all else, but the scientists involved in producing the research can’t have a politically-motivated editor simply wiping out their research based on a hasty political decision driven by an inquiry from a newspaper.
Many people have been led to believe that the Cochrane study has been “debunked” or “retracted,” but neither is the case. The sole purpose of the note attached to the study is to create the impression that it has been retracted while it has not. The research stands; the political impression is the opposite, as intended.
To give you an idea how slapdash the editor’s response was, consider this: Soares-Weiser got an email from the New York Times and hastily responded, undermining the scientists–without even making an attempt to speak with them. She implied that the study was wrong without even seeking comment from the people who did the study, on a subject with which she was utterly unfamiliar.
This is science in the modern world.
Now Cochrane is spending its rather limited resources on crisis consultants whose job it is to bail the Editor out of the mess she created.
This is another example of how scientific institutions have been destroying themselves. The narrative requires that mask mandates work; the reality is that they don’t. In a rational world, scientists would simply put out the evidence and let the political actors do their thing. They shouldn’t be activists for or against masks, but rather providers of evidence.
But that is no longer the role of scientists. They have assumed the role of oracles whose job it is to act as con men, backing up the claims of the “right” people.
This works in the short term–most people fall in line, believing that the scientists are non-partisan truth-tellers–and destroys scientific credibility in the long run. People catch on to the con.
This is a disaster. We need unbiased evidence, even if it is never perfect, and we need to know that there are people we can trust.
Now we have neither.
That's why one size fits all is wrong.warshipadmin wrote: ↑Mon Aug 28, 2023 10:01 pm Due to my busted immune system and age I shall quite happily take the boosters. Due to my a(nti)social lifestyle that may be redundant.
You do realize that Murphy is still the governor, right?Belushi TD wrote: ↑Tue Aug 29, 2023 1:27 pm Yep.
I'm in my late 40's my kids are 11 to 17 and my mom is in her middle 80's. I am not taking any more shots, neither are my kids. Mom, on the other hand, may need them, and its her decision, not some politician asshole decreeing that "YOU need to get the jab".
Belushi TD
I think you’re being a little harsh there. Vaccine efficacy for the bivalent boosters is between 38 and 50%, which corresponds to an odds ratio of roughly 0.5 to 0.66. That means you’re roughly half to two-thirds as likely to get COVID as someone with just the bog standard COVID vaccines. That level of protection tends to last three to six months.David Newton wrote: ↑Mon Aug 28, 2023 9:26 pm Also the existing immunity essentially renders it no worse than the common cold in the vast majority of people (it is now the fifth common cold coronavirus essentially) and any extra "immunity" boosters produce quickly wears off.
Jem, I think you and Hot Air are being a little harsh there as well. Looking at the Cochrane Review, they found a risk ratio of 0.95 for surgical masks and 0.70-0.82 for N95s against clinical illnesses or ILI. If you want to be super strict about it, non-significant findings mean there’s no difference, but my inclination is to say they suggest benefits but better research is needed. I am skeptical of no benefit for proper fitting N95s given that they’re the occupational standard and we were able to keep COVID infections in medical personnel down to a minimum, and medical staff were a heavily tested population.jemhouston wrote: ↑Mon Aug 28, 2023 5:00 pm https://hotair.com/david-strom/2023/08/ ... gy-n574233
The science, masks don't work, and the shots don't stop the spread.Cochrane Review the latest scientific institution ruined by COVID ideology
David Strom 12:31 PM on August 28, 2023
Cochrane Review the latest scientific institution ruined by COVID ideology
Mark Lennihan
A few months back a controversy burst onto the scene with the now infamous Cochrane Review analysis that demonstrated that masking is useless as a population-level non-pharmaceutical intervention to address the COVID pandemic. There simply is no evidence that masking reduces the burden of disease and plenty of evidence that they don’t in large populations.
When the review dropped it caused quite a stir for the most obvious of reasons: it popped a bubble that should never have been allowed to inflate. It has been well known for a century that whatever their virtues, masks simply do not work to stop the spread of respiratory viruses in large groups over any extended period of time. This was a consensus position–one that Anthony Fauci himself endorsed before COVID changed the messaging suddenly.
Cochrane Review is widely held as a gold standard for medical information, and its findings are based upon meta-analyses of randomized controlled trials done by researchers across the world. These reviews do not rely on one study but on tens or hundreds using different methods in different places, with the goal of sorting out the signal from the noise that will always be found in any particular study.
When the analysis dropped the world seemed to explode. To have Cochrane Review debunk the mask narrative was unacceptable, and like a ton of bricks, the criticism poured in.
The editor apparently panicked. A quick addendum was attached to the analysis suggesting that it was not dispositive–and that addendum has been used ever since to claim that the review was flawed or even retracted. That is not and never was the case, and it is clear that the editor simply buckled to criticism.
Paul Thacker has done a deep dive into what happened and why, and the story is dispiriting. A study that was based upon extensive analysis, peer-reviewed, and based on the best evidence available was undermined by an editor with no relevant experience in a matter of hours, for the simple reason that she was scared by criticism from news organizations such as the New York Times.
The Cochrane Library has remained a trusted source for clinicians and policy makers making critical healthcare decisions for 30 years. But now, faced with an ongoing crisis caused by multiple missteps, Cochrane editor-in-chief, Karla Soares-Weiser has hired the pricey consulting firm Envoy to address scientists’ concerns about her lack of transparency, leadership, and communication skills. The crisis came to a head last March, when Soares-Weiser rushed out a statement undermining Cochrane scientists’ assessment that masks provide little help in stopping community transmission of viruses.
The Cochrane crisis over their mishandling of the mask review comes as CNN’s resident mask expert Jonathan Reiner has called for masking once again and several universities, such as Dillard, have reinstated mask policies.
Neither Soares-Weiser nor Envoy’s Scott Wayne have responded to questions about the nature or cost Envoy’s contract with Cochrane. Cochrane is supported by government and foundation grants. According to the group’s website, Cochrane has received over $500,000 from the National Institutes of Health.
Scientists who publish in Cochrane own the copyright for their reviews and grant Cochrane a license to publish. Yet, Cochrane has admitted that Soares-Weiser rushed out a statement undermining the scientists’ conclusions, without first consulting them. In an email to Cochrane scientists, Cochrane’s spokesperson wrote that Karla Soares-Weiser had taken full responsibility for the statement put out after a request from the New York Times.
“We understand this is not ideal, especially the timing: we hoped to inform you all before publication but have been blindsided by the NYT and have scrambled to upload our statement.”
Cochrane’s bending the knee to the mask mob has created a crisis of confidence in the research world. Not only do medical professionals rely on Cochrane to be utterly dedicated to the evidence above all else, but the scientists involved in producing the research can’t have a politically-motivated editor simply wiping out their research based on a hasty political decision driven by an inquiry from a newspaper.
Many people have been led to believe that the Cochrane study has been “debunked” or “retracted,” but neither is the case. The sole purpose of the note attached to the study is to create the impression that it has been retracted while it has not. The research stands; the political impression is the opposite, as intended.
To give you an idea how slapdash the editor’s response was, consider this: Soares-Weiser got an email from the New York Times and hastily responded, undermining the scientists–without even making an attempt to speak with them. She implied that the study was wrong without even seeking comment from the people who did the study, on a subject with which she was utterly unfamiliar.
This is science in the modern world.
Now Cochrane is spending its rather limited resources on crisis consultants whose job it is to bail the Editor out of the mess she created.
This is another example of how scientific institutions have been destroying themselves. The narrative requires that mask mandates work; the reality is that they don’t. In a rational world, scientists would simply put out the evidence and let the political actors do their thing. They shouldn’t be activists for or against masks, but rather providers of evidence.
But that is no longer the role of scientists. They have assumed the role of oracles whose job it is to act as con men, backing up the claims of the “right” people.
This works in the short term–most people fall in line, believing that the scientists are non-partisan truth-tellers–and destroys scientific credibility in the long run. People catch on to the con.
This is a disaster. We need unbiased evidence, even if it is never perfect, and we need to know that there are people we can trust.
Now we have neither.
I’d say you’re on firmer ground saying “the available studies suck” rather than saying “the available studies prove they don’t work.” Ascertaining how someone got infected is extremely difficult, as is ascertaining how well someone wears a mask, and both of these are very important in ascertaining mask effectiveness. Especially when IME most infections occurred in close quarters amongst family, where people were least likely to mask up. That alone will royally screw up your study.high risk of bias in the trials, variation in outcome measurement, and relatively low adherence with the interventions during the studies hampers drawing firm conclusions.
Normal news day :p
Fauci is your standard empire building politician, except he’s never stood for election. He has made a lot of critical mistakes on the public information front, mistakes that will haunt public health for years. Certainly I wouldn’t and didn’t do at the local level a lot of things that state and federal authorities did, especially when it comes to public communications.jemhouston wrote: ↑Wed Aug 30, 2023 12:33 pm Johnnie, I'm not sure that's harsh. Fauci has been less than candid if not outright deceitful.
Aye. However it’s important to remember that the vaccines were not developed or tested to prevent infection or transmission, but hospitalization and death. The though that they were one and done against infection was largely the result of serious decreases during a short observation period (roughly April to July 2021), but that also coincides with lower rates of COVID infection in general and the three month window of immunity.jemhouston wrote: ↑Wed Aug 30, 2023 12:33 pm People have seen people with multiple jabs still get Covid.
It’s one of several.jemhouston wrote: ↑Wed Aug 30, 2023 12:33 pm N95 masks can make a difference, but that's if they're worn correctly. That's the catch.
If you’re over 60 or in bad health, it’s probably worthwhile, especially if you can get it the same time as your flu shot. Doubly so if you don’t have any major side effects from getting it. For a lot of our older members, it’s more beneficial than harmful, especially if it has been a few years or you have important stuff in the next three months you don’t want to miss due to being sick.jemhouston wrote: ↑Wed Aug 30, 2023 12:33 pmI got the first two jabs none since. I haven't decided if I'll get one this fall.
Note, I already got a flu shot.
Totally understand that. I’m not a fan of shots either. I generally prefer FluMist (the nasal version) for flu vaccines now that the quadravalent version works.jemhouston wrote: ↑Mon Sep 04, 2023 9:00 pm I'm in 65 and in good health. I went in for part 1 Shingles vaccine and Walgreens asked if I wanted a flu shot. I don't like shots, so two shots in one day seemed like a good idea. I go the pneumonia vaccine at the Doctor's office two weeks prior.
Biden is also a moron, and the Democrats in general doubled down on their Cartmanesque “respect mah authoritay!” approach when people had questions. A lot of these problems were self-inflicted, with the Biden Administration unwilling or unable to comprehend people remembered when they said the opposite thing, when the situation on the ground was different, or that communication has to be very different towards people who don’t trust you. A lot of this could have been prevented had the Biden Administration understood the information about how skeptical people need long-form communication, not sass and sound bites. But they took the quick and easy route to try and grab short term political gains, not harder but longer lasting solutions.jemhouston wrote: ↑Mon Sep 04, 2023 9:00 pm Johnnie, Biden and I think Fauci yelled to the rafters how if you get the jab, you won't get COVID. As you pointed out, it wasn't tested or proved to do that.
I’m skeptical of a lot of negative health effects from wearing surgical masks or N95 respirators, given that both are occupational standards and have been used extensively for decades without big problems. If they were dangerous, then we’d be seeing a lot more illness and deaths in professions that routinely use them, and we generally don’t. The major concern with masks and respirators are people who have health conditions (mostly lung or cardiovascular diseases) where the greater breathing difficulties are problematic - which is why medical review is part of the fit testing process.jemhouston wrote: ↑Mon Sep 04, 2023 9:00 pm I've seen studies saying wearing masks could be you're inhaling dangerous chemicals.
Half the US population also treated him like a god, and his career and finances didn’t really reflect whether he was right or wrong about diseases. The head of a major NIH branch is much more of an administrator than a clinician or researcher - and that is exactly what they should be. He was very successful at administering NAIID and building an empire there, but under blue sky conditions.jemhouston wrote: ↑Mon Sep 04, 2023 9:00 pm If you look at Fauci's record, he is general wrong at the start of everything. You would think he would learn to be more cautious.
I’m undecided. I’m 41, so my main concern is that getting COVID is a giant pain in the ass, and I don’t have time to get sick, so that three to six months of better immunity is valuable. Remote work does mean being sick is less inconvenient than it was pre-COVID (assuming you’re feeling well enough to work), but it’s still something I would prefer to avoid.jemhouston wrote: ↑Mon Sep 04, 2023 9:00 pm If you want to get the jab and wear a mask, go ahead. So far count me out.