Re: B-21 Raider Rollout
Posted: Sun Dec 04, 2022 5:30 pm
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BY YOUR COMMAND
Took the words right out of my mouth!
Good one Pdf27. I think that is one of your early cold war V bombers, like the one that hit Port Stanley airport during the 1980's Falkland war?
Never. Both are way out of date and far too maintenance intensive.clancyphile wrote: ↑Tue Dec 06, 2022 10:56 pm Great... we need 150 of these.
And when can we get some more Bones and Varks?
We do need something fast and long-range with a decent payload, though.Johnnie Lyle wrote: ↑Wed Dec 07, 2022 12:42 amNever. Both are way out of date and far too maintenance intensive.clancyphile wrote: ↑Tue Dec 06, 2022 10:56 pm Great... we need 150 of these.
And when can we get some more Bones and Varks?
Double the B-21 order instead.
We do, but we also need something we can afford. The F-111s have been gone for years, and the B-1s (if they’re even still around) are or were in a situation similar to the British Nimrods; effectively so sufficiently different from each other that they’re effectively individual aircraft designs. IIRC they also have structural problems and have always had serviceability issues.Poohbah wrote: ↑Wed Dec 07, 2022 12:52 amWe do need something fast and long-range with a decent payload, though.Johnnie Lyle wrote: ↑Wed Dec 07, 2022 12:42 amNever. Both are way out of date and far too maintenance intensive.clancyphile wrote: ↑Tue Dec 06, 2022 10:56 pm Great... we need 150 of these.
And when can we get some more Bones and Varks?
Double the B-21 order instead.
B-21 has excellent range and payload, beyond what I'm asking for. Speed, not so much. We need something that can cover theater distances at supercruise and carries enough of a payload. (One thing we might need it for is air superiority in the Pacific. I am not just worried about War Plan Yellow (that's going to be irrelevant by 2040 or so, IMNHO), but also War Plan Orange (Orange may or may not be the new Black, but it may very well be the same old Orange once China goes back to warlords and bandits).Johnnie Lyle wrote: ↑Wed Dec 07, 2022 1:17 amWe do, but we also need something we can afford. The F-111s have been gone for years, and the B-1s (if they’re even still around) are or were in a situation similar to the British Nimrods; effectively so sufficiently different from each other that they’re effectively individual aircraft designs. IIRC they also have structural problems and have always had serviceability issues.Poohbah wrote: ↑Wed Dec 07, 2022 12:52 amWe do need something fast and long-range with a decent payload, though.Johnnie Lyle wrote: ↑Wed Dec 07, 2022 12:42 am
Never. Both are way out of date and far too maintenance intensive.
Double the B-21 order instead.
Same with the B-2s. Maintenance is hella expensive and serviceability is atrocious.
We can probably use tactical fighters with tanker support or cruise missiles as a stopgap for conventional bombing while we build B-21s.
If it’s nuke stuff against a peer competitor, we turn keys and cease caring cause most of us are dead.
There were still 45 B-1B in service as of 2021.Johnnie Lyle wrote: ↑Wed Dec 07, 2022 1:17 amWe do, but we also need something we can afford. The F-111s have been gone for years, and the B-1s (if they’re even still around)
Bit of an over generalization with the Nimrod comparison. As I understand it, the early aircraft off the line did match that description - and they were the first ones retired.are or were in a situation similar to the British Nimrods; effectively so sufficiently different from each other that they’re effectively individual aircraft designs. IIRC they also have structural problems and have always had serviceability issues.
Possibly, though I suspect running them hard during the GWOT beyond their life expectancy has created a similar situation where each of the remaining aircraft has its own quirks to keep it running.James1978 wrote: ↑Wed Dec 07, 2022 4:40 amThere were still 45 B-1B in service as of 2021.Johnnie Lyle wrote: ↑Wed Dec 07, 2022 1:17 amWe do, but we also need something we can afford. The F-111s have been gone for years, and the B-1s (if they’re even still around)
Bit of an over generalization with the Nimrod comparison. As I understand it, the early aircraft off the line did match that description - and they were the first ones retired.are or were in a situation similar to the British Nimrods; effectively so sufficiently different from each other that they’re effectively individual aircraft designs. IIRC they also have structural problems and have always had serviceability issues.
As for serviceability, my recollection of something read many years ago, was that for a long time maintenance wasn't properly resourced. Sometime back in the 1990s (IIRC), the Air Force did an experiment where they picked a squadron and gave the maintenance troops sufficient staffing and resources, and lo and behold availability rates jumped.
We also ran them hard during GWOT. It was the B-1s, not the B-52s, bearing the brunt of On-Call JDAM work. And they were built in a different era and were never designed for 20 years of war. We've flown them past their life expectancy, and unsurprisingly it's showing. Years at low level beat the birds up, and I suspect we'd be seeing the same with the B-52s if they'd stuck with low level ops.
Why build high speed capability into the platform and not the weapon? That adds a vast amount of cost and compromises for a pretty niche capability.Poohbah wrote: ↑Wed Dec 07, 2022 3:26 amB-21 has excellent range and payload, beyond what I'm asking for. Speed, not so much. We need something that can cover theater distances at supercruise and carries enough of a payload. (One thing we might need it for is air superiority in the Pacific. I am not just worried about War Plan Yellow (that's going to be irrelevant by 2040 or so, IMNHO), but also War Plan Orange (Orange may or may not be the new Black, but it may very well be the same old Orange once China goes back to warlords and bandits).
B-21 was just to get a replacement medium bomber into production that would meet the requirements without adding on to much technical risk to the program.Poohbah wrote: ↑Wed Dec 07, 2022 3:26 am
B-21 has excellent range and payload, beyond what I'm asking for. Speed, not so much. We need something that can cover theater distances at supercruise and carries enough of a payload. (One thing we might need it for is air superiority in the Pacific. I am not just worried about War Plan Yellow (that's going to be irrelevant by 2040 or so, IMNHO), but also War Plan Orange (Orange may or may not be the new Black, but it may very well be the same old Orange once China goes back to warlords and bandits).
You better start worrying about your sanity Pdf27 .Pdf27 wrote: ↑Wed Dec 07, 2022 7:31 amWhy build high speed capability into the platform and not the weapon? That adds a vast amount of cost and compromises for a pretty niche capability.Poohbah wrote: ↑Wed Dec 07, 2022 3:26 amB-21 has excellent range and payload, beyond what I'm asking for. Speed, not so much. We need something that can cover theater distances at supercruise and carries enough of a payload. (One thing we might need it for is air superiority in the Pacific. I am not just worried about War Plan Yellow (that's going to be irrelevant by 2040 or so, IMNHO), but also War Plan Orange (Orange may or may not be the new Black, but it may very well be the same old Orange once China goes back to warlords and bandits).
There are three potential benefits to having a very fast bomber:
Sorta-kinda. Running fast - particularly at low level - is hell on airframes and both reduces airframe life and increases running cost. There are also very significant trade-offs in capability - for instance a supersonic platform will have much poorer payload/range than a subsonic one. That, combined with increased maintenance man-hours per flight hour is likely to mean you need significantly more airframes to generate the same number of warheads on foreheads.Johnnie Lyle wrote: ↑Thu Dec 08, 2022 7:04 amI’d add a fourth one - cost. A fast bomber is reusable the way a missile is not. If resources or production capabilities are relatively limited, that may be a significant factor.