Another document he found, is that they predichted up to 200 bombers per day.Belushi TD wrote: ↑Thu Oct 29, 2026 12:31 pm Interesting. Using a 20% casualty rate, and assuming a single mission per day, the soviet air fleet remaining after 3 days would be roughly 51%.
I strongly suspect the 20% is fairly high.
Even with a 10% shoot down rate, that's still ugly for the attackers, with 73% remaining after three days.
Belushi TD
The 1981 MOD assessment, drawn up by the Service Chiefs, about the scale of threat posed to the UK by Soviet air forces - up to 200 bombers delivering 1200 tonnes of weapons per day.
It noted UK stockpiles of SAMS (Rapier & Bloodhound) would be exhausted in 3 days.